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Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Modely s dlhou pamäťou (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaFinancie
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku201519911980
TvorcaBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)NelsonGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
TypUnivariate time-series modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Fractionally integrated time series model
Pôvodný zdrojBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
Príbuzné544
ZhrnutieARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: ARIMA · EGARCH · Long-Memory Models. Získané 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare