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| Altmanovo Z-skóre: Predikcia korporátneho bankrotu× | Logistická regresia× | XGBoost× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odbor≠ | Financie | Štatistika vo výskume | Strojové učenie |
| Rodina≠ | Regression model | Process / pipeline | Machine learning |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 1968 | 1958 | 2016 |
| Tvorca≠ | Edward Altman | David Roxbee Cox | Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. |
| Typ≠ | Multiple discriminant analysis scoring model | Method | Ensemble (gradient-boosted decision trees) |
| Pôvodný zdroj≠ | Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609. DOI ↗ | Cox, D. R. (1958). The regression analysis of binary sequences. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 20(2), 215–242. DOI ↗ | Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD, 785–794. DOI ↗ |
| Ďalšie názvy≠ | Altman's Z-Score Model, Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankruptcy Model, Z-Score Financial Distress Model, Altman Z-Skoru | logit model, binomial logistic regression, LR | XGBoost, extreme gradient boosting, scalable tree boosting |
| Príbuzné≠ | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Zhrnutie≠ | The Altman Z-Score is a linear discriminant model developed by Edward I. Altman in 1968 to predict corporate bankruptcy using five accounting-based financial ratios. Derived through multiple discriminant analysis on a matched sample of 66 US manufacturing firms, the model combines liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and activity ratios into a single composite score that classifies firms as financially sound, distressed, or in a grey zone. | Logistic regression is a statistical method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome (disease present/absent, success/failure) as a function of continuous and categorical predictors. Developed by David Roxbee Cox (1958), it solves the problem of predicting categorical outcomes by applying a logistic transformation to constrain predictions to the [0,1] probability interval, enabling accurate risk stratification, diagnostic prediction, and causal inference in epidemiology, medicine, and social science. | XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting) is a scalable tree-boosting algorithm introduced by Tianqi Chen and Carlos Guestrin in 2016. It builds a strong predictor by adding decision trees one at a time, each correcting the errors left by the trees before it, and is a powerful prediction method widely used in competitions. |
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