Compară metode

	Modelul TGARCH neliniar	Model GARCH (Prognoza volatilității)
Domeniu	Econometrie	Econometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model
Anul apariției	1993–1994	1986
Autorul original	Jean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle	Tim Bollerslev
Tip	Conditional heteroskedasticity model	Conditional volatility model
Sursa seminală	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955.	Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.
Denumiri alternative	NL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variant	GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Înrudite	4	5
Rezumat	The Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.	The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.