Compară metode

	Modelul Autoregresiv cu Defalcare Nelinara (NARDL)	Testul ARDL Bounds (Testul Pesaran Bounds)	Testul de cauzalitate Granger
Domeniu	Econometrie	Econometrie	Econometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Anul apariției	2014	2001	1969
Autorul original	Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo	Pesaran, Shin & Smith	Clive W. J. Granger
Tip	Nonlinear cointegration model	Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model	Time-series predictive causality test
Sursa seminală	Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281-314). Springer.	Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438.
Denumiri alternative	NARDL, nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, nonlinear bounds test	Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)	Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Înrudite	4	4	5
Rezumat	The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing an explanatory variable into its positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a regressor have different effects on the dependent variable — a feature that linear cointegration methods cannot capture.	The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.	The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.