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Testul ARDL Bounds (Testul Pesaran Bounds)×Testul de cauzalitate Granger×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției20011969
Autorul originalPesaran, Shin & SmithClive W. J. Granger
TipCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelTime-series predictive causality test
Sursa seminalăPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativePesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Înrudite45
RezumatThe ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: ARDL Bounds Test · Granger Causality. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare