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Modelul HAR-RV al volatilității realizate×Măsuri de risc de coadă (Expected Shortfall, Spectrale, Expectile)×
DomeniuFinanțeFinanțe
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției20091999
Autorul originalFulvio CorsiArtzner, Delbaen, Eber & Heath (coherent risk axioms); Acerbi & Tasche (Expected Shortfall)
TipLinear time-series regression for volatilityCoherent tail risk measure
Sursa seminalăCorsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174–196. DOI ↗Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.-M. & Heath, D. (1999). Coherent Measures of Risk. Mathematical Finance, 9(3), 203–228. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeHAR-RV, heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility, Corsi HAR model, HAR-RV Modeli (Heterogeneous Autoregressive Realized Volatility)expected shortfall, conditional value at risk, CVaR, spectral risk measure
Înrudite55
RezumatThe HAR-RV model, introduced by Fulvio Corsi in 2009, forecasts realized volatility by decomposing it into daily, weekly, and monthly components. It is a simple linear regression that mirrors how market participants with different investment horizons react to volatility, and it naturally captures the long-memory behaviour of volatility.Tail risk measures quantify the loss distribution beyond Value-at-Risk (VaR). Expected Shortfall — the expected loss given that VaR is exceeded — is the leading coherent risk measure, formalised by Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath (1999) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002). Spectral and expectile-based measures generalise it.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: HAR-RV Model · Tail Risk Measures. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare