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Testul de cauzalitate în varianță×GARCH-MIDAS×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției19962012
Autorul originalYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and Ghysels
TipConditional variance testTime-varying variance model
Sursa seminalăCheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗
Denumiri alternativeVolatility spillover testMixed-frequency volatility model
Înrudite33
RezumatThe causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.GARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateCompară metode: Causality in Variance Test · GARCH-MIDAS. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare