Compară metode

	Model ARIMA (Autoregresiv Integrat Medie Mobilă)	Modelul ARMA (Autoregresiv Medie Mobilă)	Model Autoregresiv (AR)	Regresie Liniară Generalizată Robustă (Robust GLS)
Domeniu	Econometrie	Econometrie	Econometrie	Econometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Anul apariției	1970	1970	1970s (popularised 1976)	1936 / 1980
Autorul original	George Box and Gwilym Jenkins	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins	Aitken (GLS theory, 1936); White (robust covariance, 1980)
Tip	Time series forecasting model	Time series model	Time series model	Robust linear regression
Sursa seminală	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043	Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed.). Pearson. Chapter 9: The Generalized Regression Model and Heteroscedasticity. ISBN: 978-0131395381
Denumiri alternative	ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)	ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)	AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process	robust generalized least squares, GLS with robust standard errors, heteroscedasticity-consistent GLS, HC-GLS
Înrudite	6	5	6	5
Rezumat	The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.	The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.	An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.	Robust GLS extends classical Generalized Least Squares by pairing GLS coefficient estimation with heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) standard errors, or by using M-estimation within the GLS framework. It corrects for non-spherical errors — heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or both — while also guarding inference against misspecification of the error covariance structure.