Comparar métodos
Examine os métodos selecionados lado a lado; as linhas que diferem ficam destacadas.
| Modelo ARMA Robusto× | Modelo ARMA (Média Móvel Autorregressiva)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Área | Econometria | Econometria |
| Família | Regression model | Regression model |
| Ano de origem≠ | 1986 | 1970 |
| Autor original≠ | Martin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literature | George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins |
| Tipo≠ | Robust time series model | Time series model |
| Fonte seminal≠ | Franses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗ | Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗ |
| Outros nomes | robust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimation | ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q) |
| Relacionados | 5 | 5 |
| Resumo≠ | The Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series. | The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting. |
| ScholarGateConjunto de dados ↗ |
|
|