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Modelo de Markov de Mudança de Regime para Séries Financeiras×Regressão por Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO)×
ÁreaFinançasEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem19892019
Autor originalJames D. HamiltonWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
TipoMarkov regime-switching time-series modelLinear regression
Fonte seminalHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
Outros nomesMarkov switching model, Hamilton regime-switching model, MS-AR, hidden Markov regime modelordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Relacionados15
ResumoThe Markov regime-switching model, introduced by James D. Hamilton in 1989, is a hidden-state time-series model in which financial series such as returns or volatility behave with different parameters across distinct economic regimes (bull/bear or high/low volatility). It is the financial application of Hamilton's MS-AR model, where an unobserved Markov state governs which parameter set is active at each point in time.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Regime-Switching Model · OLS Regression. Recuperado em 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare