Comparar métodos

	Modelo Estrutural Marginal na Pesquisa Educacional	Método de Variáveis Instrumentais (VI) para Inferência Causal
Área	Inferência causal	Economia da saúde
Família	Regression model	Process / pipeline
Ano de origem	2000 (method); 2006 (canonical education application)	1990s (modern applications)
Autor original	James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernán, Babette Brumback (epidemiology); Guanglei Hong & Stephen Raudenbush (education application)	Angrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory
Tipo	Causal inference / weighted regression model	Method
Fonte seminal	Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560.	Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Outros nomes	MSM, marginal structural model, MSM with inverse probability weighting, IPW-MSM	IV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation
Relacionados	5	3
Resumo	A marginal structural model (MSM) is a causal inference technique that uses inverse probability weighting to estimate the effect of a treatment or educational intervention that changes over time. Introduced by Robins, Hernán and Brumback (2000) in epidemiology and brought into education by Hong and Raudenbush (2006), MSMs handle time-varying confounding — a challenge that conventional regression cannot resolve.	Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes.