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Modelo GARCH (Previsão de Volatilidade)×Regressão Quantílica×
ÁreaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem19861978
Autor originalTim BollerslevKoenker & Bassett
TipoConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
Fonte seminalBollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Outros nomesGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Relacionados55
ResumoThe Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: GARCH Model · Quantile Regression. Recuperado em 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare