Comparar métodos
Examine os métodos selecionados lado a lado; as linhas que diferem ficam destacadas.
| Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)× | GJR-GARCH (GARCH Assimétrico)× | Modelo de Markov com Troca de Regimes (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Área | Econometria | Econometria | Econometria |
| Família | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Ano de origem≠ | 1991 | 1993 | 1989 |
| Autor original≠ | Nelson | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994) | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) |
| Tipo≠ | Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant) | Asymmetric conditional volatility model | Regime-switching time series model |
| Fonte seminal≠ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ |
| Outros nomes≠ | exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH | asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle) | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR |
| Relacionados≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Resumo≠ | EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance. | GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994). | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. |
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