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Examine os métodos selecionados lado a lado; as linhas que diferem ficam destacadas.

Modelo de Equilíbrio Geral Dinâmico Estocástico (DSGE)×Modelo de Espaço de Estados (Filtro de Kalman)×
ÁreaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem20071990
Autor originalSmets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
TipoMicro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium modelState space time series model
Fonte seminalSmets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
Outros nomesDSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE)state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
Relacionados54
ResumoA DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: DSGE Model · State Space Model. Recuperado em 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare