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Backtesting do Valor em Risco (VaR)×Regressão por Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO)×
ÁreaFinançasEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem19982019
Autor originalKupiec (1995); Christoffersen (1998); Engle & Manganelli (DQ test)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
TipoStatistical hypothesis tests on VaR violation sequencesLinear regression
Fonte seminalKupiec, P. H. (1995). Techniques for Verifying the Accuracy of Risk Measurement Models. The Journal of Derivatives, 3(2), 73-84. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
Outros nomesVaR backtest, Kupiec test, Christoffersen test, Dynamic Quantile testordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Relacionados35
ResumoVaR backtesting is a family of statistical tests that validate a risk model by comparing its Value-at-Risk forecasts against realised losses. It builds on Kupiec's (1995) unconditional coverage test, Christoffersen's (1998) conditional coverage test, and the Engle-Manganelli Dynamic Quantile (DQ) test.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: VaR Backtesting · OLS Regression. Recuperado em 2026-06-15 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare