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Modelo ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
ÁreaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem19821991
Autor originalRobert F. EngleNelson
TipoConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Fonte seminalEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
Outros nomesARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Relacionados64
ResumoThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: ARCH model · EGARCH. Recuperado em 2026-06-20 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare