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Model Robust GARCH×Model ARCH (Autoregresywna Heteroskedastyczność Warunkowa)×Model GARCH (Prognozowanie zmienności)×Regresja kwantylowa×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania1986–2013198219861978
TwórcaBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Robert F. EngleTim BollerslevKoenker & Bassett
TypVolatility modelConditional volatility modelConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
Źródło pierwotneBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Inne nazwyRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Pokrewne5655
PodsumowanieThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGatePorównaj metody: Robust GARCH model · ARCH model · GARCH Model · Quantile Regression. Pobrano 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/pl/compare