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Test LM Breuscha-Godfreya na autokorelację szeregową×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Test Durbina-Watsona na autokorelację×Regresja metodą najmniejszych kwadratów (OLS)×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania1978201519502019
TwórcaTrevor Breusch & Leslie GodfreyBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)James Durbin & Geoffrey WatsonWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
TypLagrange-multiplier test for serial correlationUnivariate time-series modelTest for first-order residual autocorrelationLinear regression
Źródło pierwotneGodfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Durbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
Inne nazwyBG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testiBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testiordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Pokrewne3545
PodsumowanieThe Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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