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Structural Break NARDL×ARIMA-modell (Autoregressiv Integrert Glidende Gjennomsnitt)×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Opprinnelsesår2014–20181970
OpphavspersonShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (NARDL base); structural break extensions by subsequent applied researchersGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
TypeNonlinear cointegration with structural breaksTime series forecasting model
Opprinnelig kildeShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasSB-NARDL, NARDL with structural breaks, nonlinear ARDL with break, asymmetric ARDL structural breakARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Relaterte66
SammendragStructural Break NARDL extends the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) bounds-testing framework by explicitly accommodating one or more structural breaks in the long-run relationship. It separates positive and negative changes in the regressor, tests for cointegration, and allows regime shifts, providing a richer picture of asymmetric and break-sensitive dynamics between variables.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Structural Break NARDL · ARIMA model. Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare