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SARIMA (Seasonal ARIMA)×STL-dekomponering: Sesong-trend-dekomponering ved bruk av Loess×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Opprinnelsesår20151990
OpphavspersonBox & Jenkins (seasonal extension of ARIMA)Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae & Terpenning
TypeSeasonal time-series modelnonparametric iterative smoother
Opprinnelig kildeBox, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M., Reinsel, G.C. & Ljung, G.M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Cleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. (1990). STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6(1), 3–73. link ↗
Aliasseasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, SARIMA — Mevsimsel ARIMASeasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess, STL filtering, Loess-based seasonal decomposition, Mevsimsel-Trend Ayrıştırma (STL)
Relaterte53
SammendragSARIMA is a seasonal extension of the Box-Jenkins ARIMA model that adds seasonal differencing and seasonal autoregressive and moving-average terms. Developed within the Box, Jenkins, Reinsel and Ljung framework (5th edition, 2015), it forecasts series whose pattern repeats on a yearly, monthly, or weekly period.STL Decomposition, introduced by Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae, and Terpenning (1990), is a nonparametric procedure that separates a time series into three additive components — trend, seasonal, and remainder — using iterative locally weighted regression (loess). Widely used in economics, meteorology, and data science, it handles time series of any periodicity and is robust to the presence of outliers, making it a highly flexible alternative to classical decomposition methods.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: SARIMA · STL Decomposition. Hentet 2026-06-19 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare