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Ikke-lineær TGARCH-modell×ARCH-modell (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)×GARCH-modell (volatilitetsprognoser)×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Opprinnelsesår1993–199419821986
OpphavspersonJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
TypeConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model
Opprinnelig kildeZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Relaterte465
SammendragThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Nonlinear TGARCH model · ARCH model · GARCH Model. Hentet 2026-06-19 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare