Sammenlign metoder
Gjennomgå de valgte metodene side om side; rader som avviker, er uthevet.
| Ikke-lineær TGARCH-modell× | ARCH-modell (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | EGARCH-modell (Exponential GARCH)× | TGARCH-modell (Threshold GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagfelt | Økonometri | Økonometri | Økonometri | Økonometri |
| Familie | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Opprinnelsesår≠ | 1993–1994 | 1982 | 1991 | 1993-1994 |
| Opphavsperson≠ | Jean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle | Robert F. Engle | Daniel B. Nelson | Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993) |
| Type≠ | Conditional heteroskedasticity model | Conditional volatility model | Volatility / conditional variance model | Asymmetric volatility model |
| Opprinnelig kilde≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | NL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variant | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH | Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH |
| Relaterte≠ | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Sammendrag≠ | The Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. | The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative. |
| ScholarGateDatasett ↗ |
|
|
|
|