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Ikke-lineær autoregressiv (NAR) modell×Autoregressiv modell (AR)×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Opprinnelsesår1978-19901970s (popularised 1976)
OpphavspersonTong, H. (threshold AR); Terasvirta, T. (STAR variant)George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypeNonlinear time series modelTime series model
Opprinnelig kildeTong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522201Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
AliasNAR model, nonlinear autoregression, NLAR, threshold autoregressive modelAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Relaterte66
SammendragThe Nonlinear AR model extends the classical autoregressive framework by allowing the mapping from past values to the current value to follow an arbitrary or regime-switching nonlinear function. Major families include the Self-Exciting Threshold AR (SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR), and neural network AR, each capturing different forms of asymmetry, regime shifts, or smooth nonlinear dynamics in univariate time series.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Nonlinear AR Model · Autoregressive model. Hentet 2026-06-17 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare