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Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test×Bayesiansk Vektor Feilkorreksjonsmodell (Bayesian VECM)×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Opprinnelsesår2001 (ARDL); Bayesian extension 2010s2002–2005
OpphavspersonPesaran, Shin & Smith (ARDL framework, 2001); Bayesian adaptation by subsequent literatureKleibergen & Paap; Villani
TypeCointegration / bounds testingBayesian multivariate time series model
Opprinnelig kildePesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI ↗Kleibergen, F., & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111(2), 223–249. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian ARDL, Bayesian bounds testing approach, Bayes ARDL cointegration, Bayesian PSS bounds testBayesian VECM, B-VECM, Bayesian cointegrated VAR, Bayesian vector error correction
Relaterte55
SammendragThe Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test extends the classical Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) bounds testing approach to cointegration by embedding it within a Bayesian inferential framework. Instead of relying on frequentist F- and t-statistics with tabulated critical values, the researcher specifies prior distributions on the model parameters and derives posterior evidence of a long-run level relationship between variables that may be integrated of order zero or one.The Bayesian VECM combines the classical Vector Error Correction Model — which captures both short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships among non-stationary multivariate time series — with Bayesian prior distributions over the cointegrating rank and coefficient matrices. This allows principled uncertainty quantification, incorporation of economic theory as priors, and coherent inference even in small samples.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test · Bayesian VECM. Hentet 2026-06-17 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare