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ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Modell×STL-dekomponering: Sesong-trend-dekomponering ved bruk av Loess×
FagfeltØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Opprinnelsesår20151990
OpphavspersonBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae & Terpenning
TypeUnivariate time-series modelnonparametric iterative smoother
Opprinnelig kildeBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Cleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. (1990). STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6(1), 3–73. link ↗
AliasBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliSeasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess, STL filtering, Loess-based seasonal decomposition, Mevsimsel-Trend Ayrıştırma (STL)
Relaterte53
SammendragARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).STL Decomposition, introduced by Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae, and Terpenning (1990), is a nonparametric procedure that separates a time series into three additive components — trend, seasonal, and remainder — using iterative locally weighted regression (loess). Widely used in economics, meteorology, and data science, it handles time series of any periodicity and is robust to the presence of outliers, making it a highly flexible alternative to classical decomposition methods.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: ARIMA · STL Decomposition. Hentet 2026-06-19 fra https://scholargate.app/no/compare