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Niet-lineair Autoregressief Gedistribueerd Lag Model (NARDL)×Granger-causaliteitstest×Gewone Kleinste Kwadraten (GKK) Regressie×Vector Autoregressie (VAR)-model×
VakgebiedEconometrieEconometrieEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Jaar van ontstaan2014196920192005
GrondleggerShin, Yu, and Greenwood-NimmoClive W. J. GrangerWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TypeNonlinear cointegration modelTime-series predictive causality testLinear regressionMultivariate time-series model
Oorspronkelijke bronShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281-314). Springer. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliassenNARDL, nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, nonlinear bounds testGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testiordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Verwant4554
SamenvattingThe Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing an explanatory variable into its positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a regressor have different effects on the dependent variable — a feature that linear cointegration methods cannot capture.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateMethoden vergelijken: Nonlinear NARDL · Granger Causality · OLS Regression · VAR Model. Geraadpleegd op 2026-06-18 via https://scholargate.app/nl/compare