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TGARCH Bayesian (Threshold GARCH dengan Anggaran Bayesian)

TGARCH Bayesian menggabungkan model ketergoyahan Threshold GARCH — yang menangkap respons asimetri ketergoyahan terhadap kejutan positif berbanding negatif — dengan inferens Bayesian penuh melalui pensampelan Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Hasilnya ialah rangka kerja yang berprinsip dan sedar ketidakpastian untuk memodelkan kesan leveraj dan pulangan kewangan yang berekor gemuk.

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Sumber

  1. Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1889(94)90039-6
  2. Ardia, D. (2008). Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models: Theory and Applications. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-78656-6

Cara memetik halaman ini

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Threshold Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/bayesian-tgarch

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ScholarGateBayesian TGARCH (Bayesian Threshold Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model). Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/bayesian-tgarch · Set data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026