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TGARCH Bayesian (Threshold GARCH dengan Anggaran Bayesian)×Model GARCH Bayesian×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1994 / 20081989–2000
PengasasZakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Bayesian estimation formalized by Ardia (2008)Geweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998)
JenisVolatility model with asymmetric threshold and Bayesian inferenceBayesian volatility model
Sumber perintisZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian TGARCH, Bayesian GJR-GARCH, Threshold GARCH with Bayesian estimation, TGARCH-BBayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model
Berkaitan64
RingkasanBayesian TGARCH combines the Threshold GARCH volatility model — which captures the asymmetric response of volatility to positive versus negative shocks — with full Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a principled, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling leverage effects and fat-tailed financial returns.The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Bayesian TGARCH · Bayesian GARCH model. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare