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Model ARCH Bayesian

Model ARCH Bayesian menganggar spesifikasi Heteroskedastisitas Terkondisi Autoregresif Engle dalam kerangka Bayesian. Daripada memaksimumkan kebolehjadian, ia menggabungkan taburan prior atas parameter volatiliti dengan kebolehjadian data untuk mendapatkan taburan posterior penuh, memberikan kuantifikasi ketidakpastian yang lebih kaya berbanding ARCH kebolehjadian maksimum klasik.

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Sumber

  1. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI: 10.2307/1912773
  2. Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(89)90030-4

Cara memetik halaman ini

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/bayesian-arch-model

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ScholarGateBayesian ARCH model (Bayesian Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Model). Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/bayesian-arch-model · Set data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026