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ARIMA modelis (autoregresīvais integrētais slīdošais vidējais)×Paplašinātais Dikija-Fullera (ADF) vienības saknes tests×
NozareEkonometrijaEkonometrija
SaimeRegression modelRegression model
Izcelsmes gads19701979–1984
AutorsGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsSaid & Dickey (1984); building on Dickey & Fuller (1979)
TipsTime series forecasting modelHypothesis test (unit root)
PirmavotsBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Said, S. E., & Dickey, D. A. (1984). Testing for unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models of unknown order. Biometrika, 71(3), 599–607. DOI ↗
Citi nosaukumiARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)ADF test, ADF unit root test, Dickey-Fuller test (augmented), Said-Dickey test
Saistītās65
KopsavilkumsThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test is the standard procedure for determining whether a univariate time series contains a unit root — that is, whether the series is non-stationary. It extends the original Dickey-Fuller test by including lagged difference terms that absorb serial correlation in the residuals, making the test valid for a wide range of time-series processes encountered in economics and finance.
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: ARIMA model · Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test. Izgūts 2026-06-17 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare