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시간 가변 모수 DCC-GARCH 모형×확률적 변동성 모형 (헤스톤)×
분야계량경제학재무학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002 (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension 2010s1993
창시자Robert F. Engle (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension developed in applied finance literatureSteven L. Heston
유형Multivariate volatility model with time-varying correlationContinuous-time stochastic volatility model
원전Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. DOI ↗
별칭TVP-DCC-GARCH, time-varying DCC-GARCH, dynamic conditional correlation GARCH with TVP, TVP dynamic conditional correlation modelHeston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV)
관련45
요약The TVP-DCC-GARCH model extends the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by allowing not only the pairwise correlations but also the underlying model parameters to evolve continuously over time. It captures structural shifts in volatility dynamics and cross-asset dependence, making it essential for financial risk modelling in non-stationary environments.The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH.
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