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시간 가변 모수 DCC-GARCH 모형×DCC-GARCH 모형 (동적 조건부 상관관계)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002 (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension 2010s2002
창시자Robert F. Engle (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension developed in applied finance literatureRobert F. Engle
유형Multivariate volatility model with time-varying correlationMultivariate volatility model
원전Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
별칭TVP-DCC-GARCH, time-varying DCC-GARCH, dynamic conditional correlation GARCH with TVP, TVP dynamic conditional correlation modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
관련45
요약The TVP-DCC-GARCH model extends the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by allowing not only the pairwise correlations but also the underlying model parameters to evolve continuously over time. It captures structural shifts in volatility dynamics and cross-asset dependence, making it essential for financial risk modelling in non-stationary environments.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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