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Time-MoE: 시계열 예측을 위한 혼합 전문가 기반 기초 모델×Chronos: 시계열 예측을 위한 토큰화된 파운데이션 모델×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20242024
창시자Xiaoming Shi et al.Abdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)
유형Sparse mixture-of-experts autoregressive foundation modelPre-trained language-model-based time-series forecaster
원전Shi, X., Wang, S., Nie, Y., Li, D., Ye, Z., Wen, Q., & Jin, M. (2024). Time-MoE: Billion-scale time series foundation models with mixture of experts. ICLR 2025. link ↗Ansari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research. link ↗
별칭Time Mixture-of-Experts, Time-MoE Foundation Model, Sparse Time-Series Transformer, Zaman Karışık Uzmanlar ModeliChronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi Modeli
관련32
요약Time-MoE is a billion-scale autoregressive foundation model for universal time-series forecasting, introduced by Shi et al. in 2024 and accepted at ICLR 2025. It combines a decoder-only transformer architecture with sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) feed-forward layers, enabling the model to scale to billions of parameters while activating only a small subset of expert networks per token—dramatically increasing capacity without proportional compute cost.Chronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.
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