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구조적 분절 SVAR 모형×구조적 벡터 자기회귀 (SVAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980–2000s1980
창시자Sims (1980) for SVAR; structural break extensions developed throughout 1990s–2000sSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
유형Multivariate time-series model with regime changeMultivariate time series model
원전Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
별칭break-SVAR, SVAR with regime change, structural break structural VAR, SB-SVARSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
관련65
요약The structural break SVAR model extends the standard Structural Vector Autoregression by allowing one or more discrete shifts in the system's parameters across time. It simultaneously identifies causal (structural) shocks and accounts for regime changes — such as policy shifts, crises, or institutional reforms — that alter the dynamics among multiple time series.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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