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구조적 분해 단위근 ADF 검정×구조적 분절 그랜저 인과관계×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1989-19921995-2010
창시자Perron (1989); Zivot and Andrews (1992)Granger (1969) causality framework extended by Toda & Yamamoto (1995) and Balcilar et al. (2010)
유형Unit root test with structural breakHypothesis test / time-series model
원전Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361-1401. DOI ↗Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗
별칭ADF with structural break, Perron unit root test, break-augmented ADF, unit root test with structural changebreak-robust Granger causality, Granger causality under regime change, time-varying Granger causality, structural change Granger test
관련63
요약The structural break ADF unit root test extends the standard Augmented Dickey-Fuller test to allow for one or more discrete shifts in the level or trend of a time series. Because ignoring a structural break inflates the apparent persistence of a series, this test prevents false acceptance of the unit root null when the series is actually stationary around a shifting mean or trend.Structural break Granger causality extends the classic Granger causality framework to accommodate regime shifts and parameter instability in time series. By detecting break points and testing causality within sub-samples or via rolling/recursive windows, it reveals whether a predictive relationship between variables switches on, switches off, or changes direction over time.
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