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공간 단절 시계열 분석×시계열 단절 분석 (Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1990s–2000s2002
창시자Extension of McDowall et al. (1980) ITS framework; spatial adaptations developed in epidemiology and geography through the 1990s–2000sWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
유형Quasi-experimental causal inference with spatial adjustmentQuasi-experimental segmented regression
원전McDowall, D., McCleary, R., Meidinger, E. E., & Hay, R. A. (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Sage Publications. ISBN: 978-0803913950Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
별칭Spatial ITS, Geospatial ITS, Spatially-adjusted ITS, SITSITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
관련65
요약Spatial Interrupted Time Series (Spatial ITS) extends the classic ITS design to settings where units are geo-referenced and outcomes in one location may spill over into or correlate with outcomes in neighbouring locations. It estimates the causal effect of a discrete intervention on an outcome time series while explicitly modelling geographic autocorrelation, preventing biased standard errors and enabling detection of spatial spillovers.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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