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강건 비선형 자기회귀 분산 시차 (Robust NARDL) 모형×최소제곱법(OLS) 회귀×조건부 분위수 회귀×
분야계량경제학계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
기원 연도2014–2020s20191978
창시자Extension of Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) NARDL framework with robust (outlier-resistant) estimationWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresKoenker & Bassett
유형Nonlinear time-series regression with robust estimationLinear regressionConditional quantile regression
원전Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
별칭Robust Nonlinear ARDL, Outlier-Robust NARDL, Robust Asymmetric ARDL, R-NARDLordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
관련355
요약Robust NARDL marries the asymmetric cointegration framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with outlier-resistant estimation. It decomposes a regressor into positive and negative partial sums, tests for asymmetric long-run relationships via a bounds test, and replaces the OLS criterion with an M- or MM-estimator to guard against leverage points and additive outliers common in macroeconomic and financial time series.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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