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강건 시계열 중단 분석×시계열 단절 분석 (Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2010s2002
창시자Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini; Linden (robust extensions)Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
유형Quasi-experimental segmented regression with robust inferenceQuasi-experimental segmented regression
원전Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
별칭robust ITS, outlier-robust ITS, robust segmented regression, robust ITSAITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
관련55
요약Robust Interrupted Time Series Analysis is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of a policy or intervention on an aggregate outcome over time, using segmented regression fitted with outlier-resistant or heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors. It is widely used in health services research and public-health evaluation when the time series contains influential observations, non-constant variance, or mild autocorrelation.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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