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Robust Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (Robust DCC-GARCH)×GARCH 모형 (변동성 예측)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002–20211986
창시자Engle (2002) for DCC; robust extensions by Pakel, Shephard, Sheppard, and Engle (2021)Tim Bollerslev
유형Multivariate volatility model with robust estimationConditional volatility model
원전Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339–350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
별칭robust DCC-GARCH, robust dynamic conditional correlation, outlier-robust DCC, composite-likelihood DCC-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
관련65
요약The Robust DCC-GARCH model extends Engle's (2002) Dynamic Conditional Correlation framework by replacing standard quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with outlier-resistant or composite-likelihood techniques. This preserves accurate time-varying correlation estimation even when financial return data contain extreme observations, heavy tails, or structural irregularities.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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