방법 비교

	Quantile ARDL	Quantile VAR
분야	계량경제학	계량경제학
계열	Regression model	Regression model
기원 연도	2006	2006
창시자	Roger Koenker and Zhijie Xiao	Koenker and Xiao
유형	Conditional distribution model	Distribution impulse response
원전	Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990.	Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990.
별칭	Quantile ARDL	Quantile-based impulse response
관련	3	3
요약	QARDL (Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag) combines quantile regression with ARDL modeling to estimate conditional relationships at different points of the distribution, revealing heterogeneous short-run and long-run effects. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and refined by Cho et al. (2015), it captures how the effect of explanatory variables on outcomes varies across quantiles, essential for understanding tail behavior and distributional impacts rather than just mean effects.	Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.