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정책 시나리오 목표 계획법×강건 목표 계획×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1961 (goal programming); policy scenario application 1980s–present1961 (GP); 1990s (robust extension)
창시자Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (goal programming); policy scenario integration developed in OR/policy literatureCharnes, A. & Cooper, W. W. (goal programming); Mulvey, J. M. et al. (robust optimization framework)
유형Optimization under multiple conflicting goals across policy scenariosMathematical programming under uncertainty
원전Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (1961). Management Models and Industrial Applications of Linear Programming. Wiley, New York. ISBN: 9780471153405Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (1961). Management Models and Industrial Applications of Linear Programming. Wiley, New York. ISBN: 9780471155041
별칭PSGP, Policy GP, Scenario-based Goal Programming, Multi-scenario Goal ProgrammingRGP, Goal Programming under Uncertainty, Robust GP, Uncertainty-Aware Goal Programming
관련55
요약Policy Scenario Goal Programming (PSGP) integrates goal programming optimization with policy scenario analysis to evaluate how well competing policy objectives can be achieved under distinct future conditions. Decision-makers define multiple goals and several plausible policy scenarios, then solve a goal programming model for each scenario to identify which policy strategies best satisfy priority targets across the full scenario space.Robust Goal Programming (RGP) extends classical goal programming to handle uncertain or ambiguous model parameters. Instead of minimizing deviations from crisp targets, it seeks solutions that remain feasible and near-optimal across a range of plausible scenarios or uncertain data realizations. RGP is particularly valuable in planning problems where goals are aspirational and input data carries inherent variability or estimation error.
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