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| 정책 평가를 위한 합성 통제 방법× | 이중차분법 (Diff-in-Diff)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야≠ | 인과추론 | 계량경제학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 2003-2010 | 1994 |
| 창시자≠ | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal; extended by Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller | Card & Krueger (canonical 1994 application); Angrist & Pischke (textbook treatment) |
| 유형≠ | Causal inference / comparative case study | Causal inference / panel regression |
| 원전≠ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ | Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355 |
| 별칭≠ | Synthetic Control Method, SCM, Synthetic Control, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method | diff-in-diff, DiD, Farkların Farkı (Diff-in-Diff) |
| 관련 | 5 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | The Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is a causal inference technique for evaluating the effect of a policy or intervention on a single treated unit — such as a region, country, or firm — by constructing a weighted combination of untreated comparison units that closely mirrors the treated unit before the intervention. Introduced by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003) and formalized by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller (2010), it provides a data-driven, transparent counterfactual for comparative case studies. | Difference-in-Differences is a causal-inference method that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing how a treatment group and a control group change over time. Made famous by Card and Krueger's 1994 minimum-wage study and developed in Angrist and Pischke's Mostly Harmless Econometrics, it isolates the treatment effect as the difference between the two groups' before-after changes. |
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