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정책 평가 성향 점수 매칭×성향 점수 매칭×
분야인과추론연구 통계
계열Regression modelProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1983; policy evaluation adaptation 19971983
창시자Rosenbaum & Rubin (1983); Heckman, Ichimura & Todd (1997) for program/policy evaluation applicationPaul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin
유형Quasi-experimental matching estimatorMethod
원전Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41-55. DOI ↗Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41–55. DOI ↗
별칭PSM policy evaluation, policy PSM, propensity matching for program evaluation, PSM treatment evaluationPSM, propensity score weighting, covariate balance
관련63
요약Policy evaluation propensity score matching applies the propensity score framework — originally developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983) and operationalized for program evaluation by Heckman et al. (1997) — to estimate the causal effect of a policy intervention. It constructs a credible comparison group from non-participants by matching them to participants on their estimated probability of receiving the treatment, enabling unbiased effect estimation without random assignment.Propensity score matching (PSM) is a method for reducing confounding bias in observational studies by balancing baseline characteristics between treatment groups, simulating randomization. Developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983), it estimates the probability of receiving treatment given observed covariates, then matches or weights treated and control individuals with similar treatment probabilities. Widely used in medicine, epidemiology, and policy evaluation when randomized trials are infeasible or unethical, enabling estimation of treatment effects while controlling for selection bias.
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