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정책 평가 주변 구조 모형×이중 강건 추정 (AIPW)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20002005
창시자James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette BrumbackRobins & Rotnitzky; Bang & Robins
유형Causal inference / weighted regressionSemiparametric causal estimator
원전Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550–560. DOI ↗Robins, J. M. & Rotnitzky, A. (1995). Semiparametric Efficiency in Multivariate Regression Models with Missing Data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(429), 122-129. DOI ↗
별칭MSM for policy evaluation, policy MSM, causal MSM, structural policy weighting modelAIPW, augmented inverse probability weighting, doubly robust estimator, Çift Gürbüz Kestirici (Augmented IPW / AIPW)
관련65
요약A Policy Evaluation Marginal Structural Model (MSM) is a causal inference framework that estimates the population-average effect of a policy by using inverse probability weighting to create a pseudo-population in which treatment assignment is independent of measured confounders, enabling unbiased comparison of potential outcomes under different policy scenarios from observational data.Doubly Robust Estimation, also called Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (AIPW), is a semiparametric method for estimating causal treatment effects that combines an outcome regression model with a propensity (treatment) model. Developed in the work of Robins & Rotnitzky (1995) and Bang & Robins (2005), it stays consistent as long as at least one of the two models is correctly specified.
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