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Patent Analysis×Technology Delphi×
분야Science Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19941975
창시자Francis Narin (patent bibliometrics) and the patent-analytics communityHelmer & Dalkey (RAND); national applications by NISTEP (Japan) and Cuhls (Germany)
유형Document-based technological-intelligence processIterative structured expert-survey process
원전Narin, F. (1994). Patent bibliometrics. Scientometrics, 30(1), 147-155. DOI ↗Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948
별칭Patent analytics, Patent bibliometrics, Patent landscapingTechnology Delphi survey, Foresight Delphi, National Delphi forecast
관련44
요약Patent analysis, or patanalytics, mines the documents and metadata in patent databases to generate technological intelligence. Because patents are structured, dated, classified, and citation-linked records of inventive activity, analysing patent counts, citations, classification codes, applicants, and text reveals who is innovating where, in which technologies, how fields connect, and how the technological landscape is shifting—evidence that feeds competitive intelligence, R&D strategy, and foresight.The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.
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