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패널 구조 벡터 자기회귀 (Panel SVAR) 모형×패널 벡터 오차 수정 모형 (Panel VECM)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2004 (panel extension); 1986 (SVAR origins)1987–1995
창시자Canova & Ciccarelli; Bernanke (SVAR identification)Engle & Granger (1987) for VECM; Holtz-Eakin, Newey & Rosen (1988) for panel VAR extension
유형Multivariate time-series model with structural identificationMultivariate dynamic panel model
원전Canova, F., & Ciccarelli, M. (2004). Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model. Journal of Econometrics, 120(2), 327-359. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗
별칭Panel SVAR, PSVAR, Structural Panel VAR, Panel Structural VARPanel VECM, panel vector error correction model, PVECM, panel cointegrating VAR
관련55
요약The Panel SVAR model extends the Structural VAR framework to panel data, jointly modelling multiple endogenous time-series variables across several cross-sectional units (e.g., countries or firms). Structural restrictions — short-run, long-run, or sign restrictions — are imposed on the contemporaneous relationships among variables to identify economically meaningful causal shocks and trace their propagation across units and time.Panel VECM combines vector error correction modelling with panel data, simultaneously capturing the long-run cointegrating equilibrium among multiple I(1) variables and their short-run adjustment dynamics across multiple cross-sectional units. It is the standard framework when panel variables share at least one common stochastic trend.
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