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| 패널 SARIMA 모형× | SARIMA 모형× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 계량경제학 | 계량경제학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 1976 (SARIMA); 1990s (panel extensions) | 1970 (first edition); 1976 (revised) |
| 창시자≠ | Box & Jenkins (SARIMA foundation); panel extension via mean-group and pooled estimators | Box, Jenkins, and Reinsel |
| 유형≠ | Seasonal time series panel model | Seasonal time series model |
| 원전≠ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0470272848 | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744 |
| 별칭 | Panel SARIMA, Seasonal ARIMA panel model, SARIMA panel estimation, grouped seasonal time series model | SARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal component |
| 관련 | 5 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | The Panel SARIMA model applies the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) framework to panel data, fitting individual or pooled seasonal time series models across multiple cross-sectional units. It captures both non-seasonal and seasonal autocorrelation, trends, and periodicity, making it suitable for datasets where multiple entities share a common seasonal structure over time. | SARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics. |
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