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패널 그랜저 인과성 검정×Toda-Yamamoto 인과관계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1988–20121995
창시자Holtz-Eakin, Newey & Rosen (1988); Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012)Toda, H. Y. and Yamamoto, T.
유형Causality testCausality test
원전Dumitrescu, E.-I., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460. DOI ↗Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗
별칭panel causality test, Dumitrescu-Hurlin test, heterogeneous panel causality, panel Granger testToda-Yamamoto test, TY causality test, modified Wald test for Granger causality, TY-MWALD
관련55
요약The Panel Granger Causality test examines whether past values of one variable help predict another variable across multiple cross-sectional units observed over time. It extends the classical Granger causality framework to panel data, accounting for cross-sectional heterogeneity and enabling more powerful inference by pooling information across units.The Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressions (VARs) estimated in levels, even when variables are nonstationary or cointegrated. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, it restores the standard chi-squared asymptotic distribution of the Wald statistic without requiring prior unit-root or cointegration pretesting.
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