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동적 패널 데이터 모형×패널 시스템 GMM (Blundell-Bond 추정량)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1991–19981998
창시자Arellano & Bond (1991); Blundell & Bond (1998)Blundell & Bond (1998); Arellano & Bover (1995)
유형Dynamic panel regressionGMM estimator for dynamic panel data
원전Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. DOI ↗Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. DOI ↗
별칭dynamic panel model, lagged dependent variable panel model, Arellano-Bond type dynamic panel, GMM dynamic panelSystem GMM, Blundell-Bond estimator, SYS-GMM, two-step System GMM
관련56
요약The dynamic panel data model extends standard panel regression by including one or more lagged values of the outcome variable as regressors. Because past outcomes directly predict current outcomes, the model captures persistence and adjustment dynamics — but it also introduces a correlation between the lagged dependent variable and the individual fixed effect, rendering OLS and standard fixed-effects estimators inconsistent. GMM-based approaches developed by Arellano-Bond and Blundell-Bond resolve this problem.Panel System GMM is a two-equation GMM estimator for dynamic panel data that stacks the differenced equation (using lagged levels as instruments) with the levels equation (using lagged differences as instruments). Developed by Blundell and Bond (1998) on the foundation of Arellano and Bover (1995), it is the preferred tool when the lagged dependent variable is highly persistent or individual effects are large.
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