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패널 데이터 합성 통제법×패널 데이터 이중차분법 (패널 DiD / TWFE)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20101985–2004
창시자Alberto Abadie, Alexis Diamond & Jens HainmuellerAshenfelter & Card (1985); codified by Angrist & Pischke (2009); serial correlation critique by Bertrand, Duflo & Mullainathan (2004)
유형Causal inference / panel dataCausal inference / panel regression
원전Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355
별칭SCM panel, panel synthetic control, synthetic control estimator, comparative case studyTwo-Way Fixed Effects DiD, TWFE, Panel DiD, Panel Diff-in-Diff
관련54
요약The panel data synthetic control method estimates the causal effect of an intervention on a single treated unit by constructing a data-driven weighted combination of untreated units — a synthetic control — that best reproduces the treated unit's pre-treatment outcome trajectory. The post-treatment gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart is the estimated treatment effect.Panel Data Difference-in-Differences extends the classic two-period DiD design to settings with multiple units observed across many time periods. By absorbing unit-level fixed effects and time fixed effects simultaneously, it isolates the causal effect of a treatment or policy change while controlling for both time-invariant unit heterogeneity and common time shocks affecting all units.
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